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feat(analyze): add paired truth/pred plots from giant predict
Adds a `prediction` plot family to `giant analyze`, alongside the existing
rollout-vs-reference comparison, and extends `giant predict` to make it
possible:

- `giant predict --coord global` gains schema v3 (`--truth/--no-truth`,
  default on): writes true_* physical columns and true secondary lists
  alongside the predictions, so the output is fully paired.
- New `giant/analysis/prediction.py` builds one canonical true/pred frame
  (`paired_frame`) from either predict coord mode.
- `catalog.py` gains 35 `pred_*` specs: marginals, 2D truth-vs-pred scatter
  (new `heatmap2d` kind), residuals/relative-residuals/calibration profiles,
  KS/bias/RMSE scorecards, n_sec + secondary-species confusion matrices,
  direction-alignment and constraint-violation checks, and a correlation
  delta. Two new Reduced kinds (`paired_hist`, `heatmap2d`) get renderers.
  Every spec degrades to kind="unavailable" with no --prediction given.
- `condor.py`/`cli.py`: `--prediction`/`--prediction-label` on
  `analyze prep`/`submit`, threaded through RunMeta and every compute job.

Full test suite (1162 tests), ruff, and ty all pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpxE9nij3ujg9XcuzvQ26q
2026-09-07 11:19:19 +02:00
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