docs: record analysis_341dfb14 baseline rollout benchmark results

Replaces the extrapolated pre-v0.3 weak-spot claims in baseline.toml's
header (which had the wrong sign on step-count error) with measured
numbers from the first full rollout validation of this exact config,
and adds a matching Roadmap entry in CLAUDE.md.

CLAUDE.md

@@ -113,6 +113,8 @@ Secondary energies are a **stick-breaking partition of the `e_sec` budget** from
 
 **v0.3.0 — Stage-2 autoregressive redesign (implemented, released; on `master` since 2026-08-13):** motivated by the 2026-08-03 WGAN rollout benchmark, which failed specifically at the secondary-species level (zero photon secondaries, ~4M hallucinated `-14` muon antineutrinos). Stage 2 became autoregressive in descending-energy order with teacher forcing, and the particle-type representation went back to **categorical** (`particle_type.target = "onehot"`), reversing the 2026-07-17 continuous `(log-mass, charge)` target. The config break (`[conditioning]`/`[stage1_model]`/`[stage2_model]`/`[train]` replacing the flat `train.mode` + `[model]`) makes per-stage generators, stage-2-only training, and one-shot-vs-autoregressive comparison all expressible, and the `network.py` refactor into composable parts (encoder × trunk × objective) also makes routed WGAN work for the first time.
 
+**Baseline benchmark (done, 2026-08-26):** `configs/baseline.toml`'s first full rollout-vs-Geant4 validation (`analysis_341dfb14`, checkpoint `20260814_1743_s2-flow_h512_s2h512_bs36864_ep50/best.pt`, epoch 50/50). Confirms the v0.3.0 pivot fixed the species collapse — zero photon secondaries / hallucinated `-14` muon antineutrinos are both gone (γ at 95% of truth, no `-14` in the top species) — and rules out `conditioning.*.type = "physical"` as the cause, since this checkpoint pairs it with `flow`/no-router and still doesn't collapse. Bulk shower observables are close to Geant4 (total deposited energy +1.9%, containment depth-90%/95% both 0.986×), but steps/event now *over*-shoots by 1.32× (the opposite sign from every pre-v0.3.0 checkpoint), no hadronic/nuclear secondaries are produced at all, and event-to-event energy variance is ~16× too narrow. Writeup: `/home/lars/knowledge-base/experiments/giant-baseline-flow-ar-rollout-validation.md`.
+
 v0.2 configs and checkpoints are auto-migrated (`config.migrate_config`, `model._legacy._migrate_legacy_model_config`, both drawing on shared facts in `giant/_migration.py`). **v0.2 checkpoint-loading support has no expiry decided yet**: `/ceph` still holds pre-v0.3.0 checkpoints and analysis runs referencing them, so don't delete or substantially alter either migration function or `tests/legacy/network_v02_snapshot.py` (the frozen v0.2 snapshot they're tested against) without an explicit decision to do so first.
 
 **Faster-eval architectures — both implemented, neither validated.** Target is a ~10× native-Geant4 eval budget; no eval-latency number exists for any configuration yet, so that budget is unverified across the board.

configs/baseline.toml

@@ -29,11 +29,21 @@
 #     capacity overfitting is not the binding constraint, and every recent
 #     run used 0.0.
 #
-# Known weak spots this baseline is expected to *exhibit* (they are the
-# reason for the comparisons, not a reason to retune this file): every model
-# on record under-produces steps per event by ~2x (rollout ~7e4 vs Geant4
-# ~1.4e5) and secondaries per event by 2-3.5x (~2-3e4 vs 7.2e4), and n_sec
-# head accuracy sits at 0.863-0.867 regardless of size or objective.
+# Known weak spots, now measured against this exact config rather than
+# extrapolated from the pre-v0.3 field (analysis_341dfb14, best.pt @ epoch
+# 50/50, full writeup: knowledge-base/experiments/
+# giant-baseline-flow-ar-rollout-validation.md). Unlike every pre-v0.3
+# checkpoint (which under-produced steps/event by 1.6-5x), this baseline
+# OVER-produces steps/event by 1.32x (1.86e5 vs Geant4 1.41e5) and
+# under-produces secondaries/event by 0.84x (5.97e4 vs 7.14e4) — the sign on
+# steps flipped with the v0.3 autoregressive pivot, so don't assume it still
+# undershoots. Secondary-species hallucination (zero photons, hallucinated
+# `-14` muon antineutrinos) that broke every prior checkpoint is gone; the
+# remaining species gap is a total absence of hadronic/nuclear secondaries
+# (protons, neutrons, ion recoils), not miscalibration of the ones produced.
+# Total deposited energy/event is +1.9% high but its event-to-event spread is
+# ~16x too narrow (31 MeV vs Geant4's 491 MeV). Per-step deposited energy is
+# the worst per-step marginal (KS 0.179 vs 0.004-0.071 for the others).
 
 [meta]
 # REQUIRED. Without it config.migrate_config reads this file as v0.2 and