load_rollout_vs_truth was including rollout.py's synthetic termination-
bookkeeping rows (escaped/unknown_pdg/energy_cutoff/max_steps) unfiltered:
these carry step_length=0 and edep=pre_E dumped in one row for shower-level
energy conservation, not a real per-step value, and nearly doubled the
apparent mean edep in a repro. _load_world_frame_side now drops them, keeping
only real generated steps (continuing or natural_end). Also documents the
remaining, unfixable difference: rollout's edep on real steps absorbs any
secondary-energy budget Stage 2 didn't allocate, which truth's edep never does.
Adds compute_truth_observables, the truth-schema counterpart to
compute_rollout_observables, so the Tier 4 event-level plots
(plot_rollout_longitudinal/transverse/total_energy) can overlay a real
reference computed directly from load_rollout_vs_truth's own truth file,
without needing a separate paired giant predict --coord local file. Shares
the depth/transverse binning core with compute_rollout_observables via a new
_event_axis_depth_transverse helper.
Updates rollout_validation.ipynb's Tier 4 section to use this reference and
points ROLLOUT_FILE/TRUTH_FILE at a real prediction/shard pair.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Extends the Tier 1-3 SampleCollection diagnostics (marginals, correlations,
pairwise, direction alignment, constraints) to work on a full autoregressive
giant rollout shower checked against an independent ground-truth steps file,
rather than only paired giant predict --coord local output. The two files
are unpaired (different lengths, own conditioning), so SampleCollection
gains optional *_gen fields and _group_labels/marginal_table/plot_marginals/
plot_pairwise build independent real/gen masks instead of assuming one.
Adds analysis/rollout_validation.ipynb, a sibling of validation.ipynb built
around this workflow.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>