feat(analyze): add paired truth/pred plots from giant predict
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Adds a `prediction` plot family to `giant analyze`, alongside the existing rollout-vs-reference comparison, and extends `giant predict` to make it possible: - `giant predict --coord global` gains schema v3 (`--truth/--no-truth`, default on): writes true_* physical columns and true secondary lists alongside the predictions, so the output is fully paired. - New `giant/analysis/prediction.py` builds one canonical true/pred frame (`paired_frame`) from either predict coord mode. - `catalog.py` gains 35 `pred_*` specs: marginals, 2D truth-vs-pred scatter (new `heatmap2d` kind), residuals/relative-residuals/calibration profiles, KS/bias/RMSE scorecards, n_sec + secondary-species confusion matrices, direction-alignment and constraint-violation checks, and a correlation delta. Two new Reduced kinds (`paired_hist`, `heatmap2d`) get renderers. Every spec degrades to kind="unavailable" with no --prediction given. - `condor.py`/`cli.py`: `--prediction`/`--prediction-label` on `analyze prep`/`submit`, threaded through RunMeta and every compute job. Full test suite (1162 tests), ruff, and ty all pass. Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpxE9nij3ujg9XcuzvQ26q
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@@ -329,6 +329,58 @@ def test_render_one_of_each_kind(tmp_path: Path):
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"log_color": True,
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},
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),
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Reduced(
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"ph1",
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"prediction",
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"paired_hist",
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"Paired hist (single prediction)",
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"x",
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{"edges": [0, 1, 2, 3], "series": {"pred": {"pred": [1, 2, 3], "true": [2, 2, 2]}}, "log_y": False},
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),
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Reduced(
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"ph2",
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"prediction",
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"paired_hist",
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"Paired hist (two predictions)",
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"x",
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{
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"edges": [0, 1, 2, 3],
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"series": {"a": {"pred": [1, 2, 3], "true": [2, 2, 2]}, "b": {"pred": [3, 2, 1]}},
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"log_y": False,
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},
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),
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Reduced(
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"hm2d",
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"prediction",
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"heatmap2d",
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"Scatter (truth vs pred)",
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"true x",
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{
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"x_edges": [0, 1, 2],
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"y_edges": [0, 1, 2],
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"series": {"pred": [[2, 0], [1, 3]]},
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"ylabel": "predicted x",
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"cbar_label": "count",
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"log_color": True,
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"diagonal": True,
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},
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),
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Reduced(
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"profile_noref",
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"prediction",
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"profile",
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"Residual profile (no reference)",
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"true x",
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{"edges": [0, 1, 2], "series": {"pred": {"mean": [0.1, -0.1], "std": [0.2, 0.2]}}},
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),
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Reduced(
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"bar_noref",
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"prediction",
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"bar",
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"Constraint violations (no reference)",
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"check",
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{"labels": ["a", "b"], "series": {"pred": [0.01, 0.0]}, "ylabel": "rate"},
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),
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]
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try:
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pdfs = _try_render(reduced, tmp_path)
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