feat(analyze): add paired truth/pred plots from giant predict
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Adds a `prediction` plot family to `giant analyze`, alongside the existing
rollout-vs-reference comparison, and extends `giant predict` to make it
possible:

- `giant predict --coord global` gains schema v3 (`--truth/--no-truth`,
  default on): writes true_* physical columns and true secondary lists
  alongside the predictions, so the output is fully paired.
- New `giant/analysis/prediction.py` builds one canonical true/pred frame
  (`paired_frame`) from either predict coord mode.
- `catalog.py` gains 35 `pred_*` specs: marginals, 2D truth-vs-pred scatter
  (new `heatmap2d` kind), residuals/relative-residuals/calibration profiles,
  KS/bias/RMSE scorecards, n_sec + secondary-species confusion matrices,
  direction-alignment and constraint-violation checks, and a correlation
  delta. Two new Reduced kinds (`paired_hist`, `heatmap2d`) get renderers.
  Every spec degrades to kind="unavailable" with no --prediction given.
- `condor.py`/`cli.py`: `--prediction`/`--prediction-label` on
  `analyze prep`/`submit`, threaded through RunMeta and every compute job.

Full test suite (1162 tests), ruff, and ty all pass.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01PpxE9nij3ujg9XcuzvQ26q
This commit is contained in:
2026-09-07 11:19:19 +02:00
parent 2885c6518f
commit ac01966a1f
15 changed files with 2174 additions and 56 deletions
+24
View File
@@ -103,6 +103,7 @@ def test_ref_yaml_contains_expected_fields(tmp_path):
ref_path = _write_prediction_ref(checkpoint, pred_uuid, out, dataset)
data = yaml.safe_load(ref_path.read_text())
assert data["kind"] == "prediction"
assert data["prediction_id"] == pred_uuid
assert data["output"] == str(out)
assert data["dataset"] == str(dataset)
@@ -212,3 +213,26 @@ def test_predict_set_flag_disallowed_path_surfaces_compat_error(tmp_path):
assert result.exit_code == 1
assert "not an inference-safe override" in result.output
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# schema v3 constants (truth-column tagging)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def test_predict_schema_version_is_v3():
from giant.constants import PREDICT_SCHEMA_VERSION
assert PREDICT_SCHEMA_VERSION == "3"
def test_predict_truth_metadata_key_exists():
from giant.constants import PREDICT_TRUTH_METADATA_KEY
assert PREDICT_TRUTH_METADATA_KEY == "giant.predict.has_truth"
def test_predict_has_truth_flag_default_on():
result = runner.invoke(app, ["predict", "--help"])
assert "--truth" in result.output
assert "--no-truth" in result.output