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Morten Hjorth-Jensen 7bcbcaa1f3 update week 38
2025-09-14 08:00:55 +02:00

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<a class="navbar-brand" href="week38-bs.html">Week 38: Statistical analysis, bias-variance tradeoff and resampling methods</a>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs001.html#plans-for-week-38-lecture-monday-september-15" style="font-size: 80%;">Plans for week 38, lecture Monday September 15</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs002.html#readings-and-videos" style="font-size: 80%;">Readings and Videos</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs003.html#linking-the-regression-analysis-with-a-statistical-interpretation" style="font-size: 80%;">Linking the regression analysis with a statistical interpretation</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs005.html#expectation-value-and-variance" style="font-size: 80%;">Expectation value and variance</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs006.html#expectation-value-and-variance-for-boldsymbol-beta" style="font-size: 80%;">Expectation value and variance for \( \boldsymbol{\beta} \)</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs007.html#deriving-ols-from-a-probability-distribution" style="font-size: 80%;">Deriving OLS from a probability distribution</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs008.html#independent-and-identically-distributed-iid" style="font-size: 80%;">Independent and Identically Distributed (iid)</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs009.html#maximum-likelihood-estimation-mle" style="font-size: 80%;">Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE)</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs010.html#a-new-cost-function" style="font-size: 80%;">A new Cost Function</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs014.html#why-resampling-methods" style="font-size: 80%;">Why resampling methods</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs016.html#resampling-methods" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs013.html#resampling-approaches-can-be-computationally-expensive" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling approaches can be computationally expensive</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs014.html#why-resampling-methods" style="font-size: 80%;">Why resampling methods ?</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs015.html#statistical-analysis" style="font-size: 80%;">Statistical analysis</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs016.html#resampling-methods" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs017.html#resampling-methods-bootstrap" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs018.html#the-central-limit-theorem" style="font-size: 80%;">The Central Limit Theorem</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs019.html#finding-the-limit" style="font-size: 80%;">Finding the Limit</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs020.html#rewriting-the-delta-function" style="font-size: 80%;">Rewriting the \( \delta \)-function</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs021.html#identifying-terms" style="font-size: 80%;">Identifying Terms</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs022.html#wrapping-it-up" style="font-size: 80%;">Wrapping it up</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs023.html#confidence-intervals" style="font-size: 80%;">Confidence Intervals</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs024.html#standard-approach-based-on-the-normal-distribution" style="font-size: 80%;">Standard Approach based on the Normal Distribution</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs025.html#resampling-methods-bootstrap-background" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap background</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs026.html#resampling-methods-more-bootstrap-background" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: More Bootstrap background</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs027.html#resampling-methods-bootstrap-approach" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap approach</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs028.html#resampling-methods-bootstrap-steps" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap steps</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs029.html#code-example-for-the-bootstrap-method" style="font-size: 80%;">Code example for the Bootstrap method</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs031.html#the-bias-variance-tradeoff" style="font-size: 80%;">The bias-variance tradeoff</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs032.html#a-way-to-read-the-bias-variance-tradeoff" style="font-size: 80%;">A way to Read the Bias-Variance Tradeoff</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs033.html#example-code-for-bias-variance-tradeoff" style="font-size: 80%;">Example code for Bias-Variance tradeoff</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs034.html#understanding-what-happens" style="font-size: 80%;">Understanding what happens</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs035.html#summing-up" style="font-size: 80%;">Summing up</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs036.html#another-example-from-scikit-learn-s-repository" style="font-size: 80%;">Another Example from Scikit-Learn's Repository</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="#various-steps-in-cross-validation" style="font-size: 80%;">Various steps in cross-validation</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs038.html#cross-validation-in-brief" style="font-size: 80%;">Cross-validation in brief</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs039.html#code-example-for-cross-validation-and-k-fold-cross-validation" style="font-size: 80%;">Code Example for Cross-validation and \( k \)-fold Cross-validation</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs040.html#more-examples-on-bootstrap-and-cross-validation-and-errors" style="font-size: 80%;">More examples on bootstrap and cross-validation and errors</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs041.html#the-same-example-but-now-with-cross-validation" style="font-size: 80%;">The same example but now with cross-validation</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week38-bs042.html#material-for-the-lab-sessions" style="font-size: 80%;">Material for the lab sessions</a></li>
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<h2 id="various-steps-in-cross-validation" class="anchor">Various steps in cross-validation </h2>
<p>When the repetitive splitting of the data set is done randomly,
samples may accidently end up in a fast majority of the splits in
either training or test set. Such samples may have an unbalanced
influence on either model building or prediction evaluation. To avoid
this \( k \)-fold cross-validation structures the data splitting. The
samples are divided into \( k \) more or less equally sized exhaustive and
mutually exclusive subsets. In turn (at each split) one of these
subsets plays the role of the test set while the union of the
remaining subsets constitutes the training set. Such a splitting
warrants a balanced representation of each sample in both training and
test set over the splits. Still the division into the \( k \) subsets
involves a degree of randomness. This may be fully excluded when
choosing \( k=n \). This particular case is referred to as leave-one-out
cross-validation (LOOCV).
</p>
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