312 lines
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312 lines
20 KiB
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'sections': [('Plans for week 36', 2, None, '___sec0'),
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('Thursday September 3', 2, None, '___sec1'),
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('Why resampling methods', 2, None, '___sec2'),
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('Resampling methods', 2, None, '___sec3'),
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('Resampling approaches can be computationally expensive',
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2,
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('Code example for the Bootstrap method', 2, None, '___sec20'),
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('Various steps in cross-validation', 2, None, '___sec21'),
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2,
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None,
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'Cross-validation',
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2,
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None,
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'___sec24'),
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('The bias-variance tradeoff', 2, None, '___sec25'),
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('Example code for Bias-Variance tradeoff', 2, None, '___sec26'),
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('Understanding what happens', 2, None, '___sec27'),
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'___sec30'),
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('The same example but now with cross-validation',
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2,
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None,
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'___sec31'),
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('Cross-validation with Ridge', 2, None, '___sec32'),
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<a class="navbar-brand" href="week36-bs.html">Week 36: Resampling techniques and Ordinary Least Square</a>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs001.html#___sec0" style="font-size: 80%;">Plans for week 36</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs002.html#___sec1" style="font-size: 80%;">Thursday September 3</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs003.html#___sec2" style="font-size: 80%;">Why resampling methods</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs004.html#___sec3" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs005.html#___sec4" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling approaches can be computationally expensive</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs006.html#___sec5" style="font-size: 80%;">Why resampling methods ?</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs007.html#___sec6" style="font-size: 80%;">Statistical analysis</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs008.html#___sec7" style="font-size: 80%;">Linking the regression analysis with a statistical interpretation</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs009.html#___sec8" style="font-size: 80%;">Assumptions made</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs010.html#___sec9" style="font-size: 80%;">Expectation value and variance</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs011.html#___sec10" style="font-size: 80%;">Expectation value and variance for \( \boldsymbol{\beta} \)</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs012.html#___sec11" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs013.html#___sec12" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Jackknife and Bootstrap</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs014.html#___sec13" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Jackknife</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs015.html#___sec14" style="font-size: 80%;">Jackknife code example</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs016.html#___sec15" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs017.html#___sec16" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap background</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs018.html#___sec17" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: More Bootstrap background</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs019.html#___sec18" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap approach</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs020.html#___sec19" style="font-size: 80%;">Resampling methods: Bootstrap steps</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs021.html#___sec20" style="font-size: 80%;">Code example for the Bootstrap method</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs022.html#___sec21" style="font-size: 80%;">Various steps in cross-validation</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs023.html#___sec22" style="font-size: 80%;">How to set up the cross-validation for Ridge and/or Lasso</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs024.html#___sec23" style="font-size: 80%;">Cross-validation in brief</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs025.html#___sec24" style="font-size: 80%;">Code Example for Cross-validation and \( k \)-fold Cross-validation</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs026.html#___sec25" style="font-size: 80%;">The bias-variance tradeoff</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs027.html#___sec26" style="font-size: 80%;">Example code for Bias-Variance tradeoff</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs028.html#___sec27" style="font-size: 80%;">Understanding what happens</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs029.html#___sec28" style="font-size: 80%;">Summing up</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs030.html#___sec29" style="font-size: 80%;">Another Example from Scikit-Learn's Repository</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs031.html#___sec30" style="font-size: 80%;">More examples on bootstrap and cross-validation and errors</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="#___sec31" style="font-size: 80%;">The same example but now with cross-validation</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs033.html#___sec32" style="font-size: 80%;">Cross-validation with Ridge</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week36-bs034.html#___sec33" style="font-size: 80%;">Friday September 4</a></li>
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<!-- !split -->
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<h2 id="___sec31" class="anchor">The same example but now with cross-validation </h2>
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<p>
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<!-- code=python (!bc pycod) typeset with pygments style "default" -->
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<div class="highlight" style="background: #f8f8f8"><pre style="line-height: 125%"><span></span><span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Common imports</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">os</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">numpy</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">np</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">pandas</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">pd</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">matplotlib.pyplot</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">plt</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">from</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.linear_model</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> LinearRegression, Ridge, Lasso
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">from</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.metrics</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> mean_squared_error
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">from</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.model_selection</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> KFold
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">from</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.model_selection</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> cross_val_score
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Where to save the figures and data files</span>
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PROJECT_ROOT_DIR <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"Results"</span>
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FIGURE_ID <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"Results/FigureFiles"</span>
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DATA_ID <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"DataFiles/"</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(PROJECT_ROOT_DIR):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>mkdir(PROJECT_ROOT_DIR)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(FIGURE_ID):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>makedirs(FIGURE_ID)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(DATA_ID):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>makedirs(DATA_ID)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">image_path</span>(fig_id):
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">return</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>join(FIGURE_ID, fig_id)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">data_path</span>(dat_id):
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">return</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>join(DATA_ID, dat_id)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">save_fig</span>(fig_id):
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>savefig(image_path(fig_id) <span style="color: #666666">+</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">".png"</span>, format<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'png'</span>)
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infile <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #008000">open</span>(data_path(<span style="color: #BA2121">"EoS.csv"</span>),<span style="color: #BA2121">'r'</span>)
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Read the EoS data as csv file and organize the data into two arrays with density and energies</span>
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EoS <span style="color: #666666">=</span> pd<span style="color: #666666">.</span>read_csv(infile, names<span style="color: #666666">=</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>, <span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>))
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EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> pd<span style="color: #666666">.</span>to_numeric(EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>], errors<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'coerce'</span>)
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EoS <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS<span style="color: #666666">.</span>dropna()
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Energies <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>]
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Density <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>]
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># The design matrix now as function of various polytrops</span>
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Maxpolydegree <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #666666">30</span>
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X <span style="color: #666666">=</span> np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>zeros((<span style="color: #008000">len</span>(Density),Maxpolydegree))
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X[:,<span style="color: #666666">0</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #666666">1.0</span>
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estimated_mse_sklearn <span style="color: #666666">=</span> np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>zeros(Maxpolydegree)
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polynomial <span style="color: #666666">=</span> np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>zeros(Maxpolydegree)
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k <span style="color: #666666">=5</span>
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kfold <span style="color: #666666">=</span> KFold(n_splits <span style="color: #666666">=</span> k)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">for</span> polydegree <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">in</span> <span style="color: #008000">range</span>(<span style="color: #666666">1</span>, Maxpolydegree):
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polynomial[polydegree] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> polydegree
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">for</span> degree <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">in</span> <span style="color: #008000">range</span>(polydegree):
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X[:,degree] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> Density<span style="color: #666666">**</span>(degree<span style="color: #666666">/3.0</span>)
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OLS <span style="color: #666666">=</span> LinearRegression()
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># loop over trials in order to estimate the expectation value of the MSE</span>
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estimated_mse_folds <span style="color: #666666">=</span> cross_val_score(OLS, X, Energies, scoring<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'neg_mean_squared_error'</span>, cv<span style="color: #666666">=</span>kfold)
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic">#[:, np.newaxis]</span>
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estimated_mse_sklearn[polydegree] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>mean(<span style="color: #666666">-</span>estimated_mse_folds)
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>plot(polynomial, np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>log10(estimated_mse_sklearn), label<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'Test Error'</span>)
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>xlabel(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Polynomial degree'</span>)
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>ylabel(<span style="color: #BA2121">'log10[MSE]'</span>)
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>legend()
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>show()
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</pre></div>
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<p>
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<p>
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<li><a href="._week36-bs033.html">34</a></li>
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<li><a href="._week36-bs034.html">35</a></li>
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