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'sections': [('Plans for week 35, August 24-28', 2, None, '___sec0'),
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<a class="navbar-brand" href="week35-bs.html">Week 35: Linear Regression and Review of Statistical Analysis and Probability Theory</a>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs001.html#___sec0" style="font-size: 80%;">Plans for week 35, August 24-28</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs002.html#___sec1" style="font-size: 80%;">Thursday August 27</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs003.html#___sec2" style="font-size: 80%;">Why Linear Regression (aka Ordinary Least Squares and family)</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs004.html#___sec3" style="font-size: 80%;">Regression analysis, overarching aims</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs005.html#___sec4" style="font-size: 80%;">Regression analysis, overarching aims II</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs006.html#___sec5" style="font-size: 80%;">Examples</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs007.html#___sec6" style="font-size: 80%;">General linear models</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs008.html#___sec7" style="font-size: 80%;">Rewriting the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs009.html#___sec8" style="font-size: 80%;">Rewriting the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem, more details</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs010.html#___sec9" style="font-size: 80%;">Generalizing the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs011.html#___sec10" style="font-size: 80%;">Generalizing the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs012.html#___sec11" style="font-size: 80%;">Optimizing our parameters</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs013.html#___sec12" style="font-size: 80%;">Our model for the nuclear binding energies</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs014.html#___sec13" style="font-size: 80%;">Optimizing our parameters, more details</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs015.html#___sec14" style="font-size: 80%;">Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs016.html#___sec15" style="font-size: 80%;">Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs017.html#___sec16" style="font-size: 80%;">Some useful matrix and vector expressions</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs018.html#___sec17" style="font-size: 80%;">Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs019.html#___sec18" style="font-size: 80%;">Own code for Ordinary Least Squares</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs020.html#___sec19" style="font-size: 80%;">Adding error analysis and training set up</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs021.html#___sec20" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs022.html#___sec21" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs023.html#___sec22" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs024.html#___sec23" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs025.html#___sec24" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs026.html#___sec25" style="font-size: 80%;">The \( \chi^2 \) function</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs027.html#___sec26" style="font-size: 80%;">Fitting an Equation of State for Dense Nuclear Matter</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="#___sec27" style="font-size: 80%;">The code</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs029.html#___sec28" style="font-size: 80%;">Splitting our Data in Training and Test data</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs030.html#___sec29" style="font-size: 80%;">The Boston housing data example</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs031.html#___sec30" style="font-size: 80%;">Housing data, the code</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs032.html#___sec31" style="font-size: 80%;">Reducing the number of degrees of freedom, overarching view</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs033.html#___sec32" style="font-size: 80%;">Preprocessing our data</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs034.html#___sec33" style="font-size: 80%;">More preprocessing</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs035.html#___sec34" style="font-size: 80%;">Simple preprocessing examples, Franke function and regression</a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week35-bs036.html#___sec35" style="font-size: 80%;">Friday August 28</a></li>
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<!-- !split -->
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<h2 id="___sec27" class="anchor">The code </h2>
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<p>
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<!-- code=python (!bc pycod) typeset with pygments style "default" -->
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<div class="highlight" style="background: #f8f8f8"><pre style="line-height: 125%"><span></span><span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Common imports</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">os</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">numpy</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">np</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">pandas</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">pd</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">matplotlib.pyplot</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">plt</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">matplotlib.pyplot</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">plt</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.linear_model</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">as</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">skl</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">from</span> <span style="color: #0000FF; font-weight: bold">sklearn.metrics</span> <span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">import</span> mean_squared_error, r2_score, mean_absolute_error
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Where to save the figures and data files</span>
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PROJECT_ROOT_DIR <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"Results"</span>
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FIGURE_ID <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"Results/FigureFiles"</span>
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DATA_ID <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">"DataFiles/"</span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(PROJECT_ROOT_DIR):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>mkdir(PROJECT_ROOT_DIR)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(FIGURE_ID):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>makedirs(FIGURE_ID)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">if</span> <span style="color: #AA22FF; font-weight: bold">not</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>exists(DATA_ID):
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os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>makedirs(DATA_ID)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">image_path</span>(fig_id):
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">return</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>join(FIGURE_ID, fig_id)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">data_path</span>(dat_id):
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">return</span> os<span style="color: #666666">.</span>path<span style="color: #666666">.</span>join(DATA_ID, dat_id)
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">def</span> <span style="color: #0000FF">save_fig</span>(fig_id):
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>savefig(image_path(fig_id) <span style="color: #666666">+</span> <span style="color: #BA2121">".png"</span>, format<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'png'</span>)
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infile <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #008000">open</span>(data_path(<span style="color: #BA2121">"EoS.csv"</span>),<span style="color: #BA2121">'r'</span>)
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Read the EoS data as csv file and organize the data into two arrays with density and energies</span>
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EoS <span style="color: #666666">=</span> pd<span style="color: #666666">.</span>read_csv(infile, names<span style="color: #666666">=</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>, <span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>))
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EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> pd<span style="color: #666666">.</span>to_numeric(EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>], errors<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'coerce'</span>)
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EoS <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS<span style="color: #666666">.</span>dropna()
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Energies <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>]
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Density <span style="color: #666666">=</span> EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>]
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># The design matrix now as function of various polytrops</span>
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X <span style="color: #666666">=</span> np<span style="color: #666666">.</span>zeros((<span style="color: #008000">len</span>(Density),<span style="color: #666666">4</span>))
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X[:,<span style="color: #666666">3</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> Density<span style="color: #666666">**</span>(<span style="color: #666666">4.0/3.0</span>)
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X[:,<span style="color: #666666">2</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> Density
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X[:,<span style="color: #666666">1</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> Density<span style="color: #666666">**</span>(<span style="color: #666666">2.0/3.0</span>)
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X[:,<span style="color: #666666">0</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #666666">1</span>
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># We use now Scikit-Learn's linear regressor and ridge regressor</span>
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># OLS part</span>
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clf <span style="color: #666666">=</span> skl<span style="color: #666666">.</span>LinearRegression()<span style="color: #666666">.</span>fit(X, Energies)
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ytilde <span style="color: #666666">=</span> clf<span style="color: #666666">.</span>predict(X)
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EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Eols'</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> ytilde
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># The mean squared error </span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">"Mean squared error: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">"</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> mean_squared_error(Energies, ytilde))
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Explained variance score: 1 is perfect prediction </span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Variance score: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> r2_score(Energies, ytilde))
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Mean absolute error </span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Mean absolute error: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> mean_absolute_error(Energies, ytilde))
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(clf<span style="color: #666666">.</span>coef_, clf<span style="color: #666666">.</span>intercept_)
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># The Ridge regression with a hyperparameter lambda = 0.1</span>
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_lambda <span style="color: #666666">=</span> <span style="color: #666666">0.1</span>
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clf_ridge <span style="color: #666666">=</span> skl<span style="color: #666666">.</span>Ridge(alpha<span style="color: #666666">=</span>_lambda)<span style="color: #666666">.</span>fit(X, Energies)
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yridge <span style="color: #666666">=</span> clf_ridge<span style="color: #666666">.</span>predict(X)
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EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Eridge'</span>] <span style="color: #666666">=</span> yridge
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># The mean squared error </span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">"Mean squared error: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">"</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> mean_squared_error(Energies, yridge))
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Explained variance score: 1 is perfect prediction </span>
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Variance score: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> r2_score(Energies, yridge))
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<span style="color: #408080; font-style: italic"># Mean absolute error </span>
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|
<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(<span style="color: #BA2121">'Mean absolute error: </span><span style="color: #BB6688; font-weight: bold">%.2f</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'</span> <span style="color: #666666">%</span> mean_absolute_error(Energies, yridge))
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<span style="color: #008000; font-weight: bold">print</span>(clf_ridge<span style="color: #666666">.</span>coef_, clf_ridge<span style="color: #666666">.</span>intercept_)
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|
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fig, ax <span style="color: #666666">=</span> plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>subplots()
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ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>set_xlabel(<span style="color: #BA2121">r'$\rho[\mathrm{fm}^{-3}]$'</span>)
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ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>set_ylabel(<span style="color: #BA2121">r'Energy per particle'</span>)
|
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ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>plot(EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>], EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Energy'</span>], alpha<span style="color: #666666">=0.7</span>, lw<span style="color: #666666">=2</span>,
|
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label<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'Theoretical data'</span>)
|
|
ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>plot(EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>], EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Eols'</span>], alpha<span style="color: #666666">=0.7</span>, lw<span style="color: #666666">=2</span>, c<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'m'</span>,
|
|
label<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'OLS'</span>)
|
|
ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>plot(EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Density'</span>], EoS[<span style="color: #BA2121">'Eridge'</span>], alpha<span style="color: #666666">=0.7</span>, lw<span style="color: #666666">=2</span>, c<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'g'</span>,
|
|
label<span style="color: #666666">=</span><span style="color: #BA2121">'Ridge $\lambda = 0.1$'</span>)
|
|
ax<span style="color: #666666">.</span>legend()
|
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save_fig(<span style="color: #BA2121">"EoSfitting"</span>)
|
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plt<span style="color: #666666">.</span>show()
|
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</pre></div>
|
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<p>
|
|
The above simple polynomial in density \( \rho \) gives an excellent fit
|
|
to the data.
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|
|
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<p>
|
|
We note also that there is a small deviation between the
|
|
standard OLS and the Ridge regression at higher densities. We discuss this in more detail
|
|
below.
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<p>
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<p>
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