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Morten Hjorth-Jensen 7ef83359c2 updating week 34
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<a class="navbar-brand" href="week34-bs.html">Week 35: Introduction to the course, Logistics and Practicalities</a>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs001.html#overview-of-first-week" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Overview of first week</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs002.html#reading-recommendations" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Reading Recommendations</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs003.html#thursday-august-26" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Thursday August 26</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs004.html#lectures-and-computerlab" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Lectures and ComputerLab</b></a></li>
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<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs010.html#recommended-textbooks" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Recommended textbooks</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs011.html#prerequisites" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Prerequisites</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs012.html#learning-outcomes" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Learning outcomes</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs013.html#topics-covered-in-this-course-statistical-analysis-and-optimization-of-data" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Topics covered in this course: Statistical analysis and optimization of data</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs014.html#topics-covered-in-this-course-machine-learning" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Topics covered in this course: Machine Learning</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs015.html#extremely-useful-tools-strongly-recommended" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Extremely useful tools, strongly recommended</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs016.html#other-courses-on-data-science-and-machine-learning-at-uio" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Other courses on Data science and Machine Learning at UiO</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs017.html#introduction" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Introduction</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="#what-is-machine-learning" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>What is Machine Learning?</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs019.html#types-of-machine-learning" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Types of Machine Learning</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs020.html#essential-elements-of-ml" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Essential elements of ML</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs021.html#an-optimization-minimization-problem" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>An optimization/minimization problem</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs022.html#a-frequentist-approach-to-data-analysis" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>A Frequentist approach to data analysis</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs023.html#what-is-a-good-model" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>What is a good model?</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs024.html#what-is-a-good-model-can-we-define-it" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>What is a good model? Can we define it?</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs025.html#software-and-needed-installations" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Software and needed installations</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs026.html#python-installers" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Python installers</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs027.html#useful-python-libraries" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Useful Python libraries</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs028.html#installing-r-c-cython-or-julia" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Installing R, C++, cython or Julia</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs029.html#installing-r-c-cython-numba-etc" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Installing R, C++, cython, Numba etc</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs030.html#numpy-examples-and-important-matrix-and-vector-handling-packages" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Numpy examples and Important Matrix and vector handling packages</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs031.html#basic-matrix-features" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Basic Matrix Features</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs032.html#some-famous-matrices" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Some famous Matrices</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs033.html#more-basic-matrix-features" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;More Basic Matrix Features</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs034.html#numpy-and-arrays" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Numpy and arrays</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs035.html#matrices-in-python" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Matrices in Python</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs036.html#meet-the-pandas" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Meet the Pandas</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs037.html#friday-august-27" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Friday August 27</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#simple-linear-regression-model-using-_scikit-learn_" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Simple linear regression model using <b>scikit-learn</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#to-our-real-data-nuclear-binding-energies-brief-reminder-on-masses-and-binding-energies" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;To our real data: nuclear binding energies. Brief reminder on masses and binding energies</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#organizing-our-data" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Organizing our data</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#seeing-the-wood-for-the-trees" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;Seeing the wood for the trees</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#and-what-about-using-neural-networks" style="font-size: 80%;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;And what about using neural networks?</a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs038.html#a-first-summary" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>A first summary</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs039.html#why-linear-regression-aka-ordinary-least-squares-and-family" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Why Linear Regression (aka Ordinary Least Squares and family)</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs040.html#regression-analysis-overarching-aims" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Regression analysis, overarching aims</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs041.html#regression-analysis-overarching-aims-ii" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Regression analysis, overarching aims II</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs042.html#examples" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Examples</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs043.html#general-linear-models" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>General linear models</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs044.html#rewriting-the-fitting-procedure-as-a-linear-algebra-problem" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Rewriting the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs045.html#rewriting-the-fitting-procedure-as-a-linear-algebra-problem-more-details" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Rewriting the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem, more details</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs047.html#generalizing-the-fitting-procedure-as-a-linear-algebra-problem" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Generalizing the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs047.html#generalizing-the-fitting-procedure-as-a-linear-algebra-problem" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Generalizing the fitting procedure as a linear algebra problem</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs048.html#optimizing-our-parameters" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Optimizing our parameters</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs049.html#our-model-for-the-nuclear-binding-energies" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Our model for the nuclear binding energies</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs050.html#optimizing-our-parameters-more-details" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Optimizing our parameters, more details</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs054.html#interpretations-and-optimizing-our-parameters" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs054.html#interpretations-and-optimizing-our-parameters" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs053.html#some-useful-matrix-and-vector-expressions" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Some useful matrix and vector expressions</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs054.html#interpretations-and-optimizing-our-parameters" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Interpretations and optimizing our parameters</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs055.html#own-code-for-ordinary-least-squares" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Own code for Ordinary Least Squares</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs056.html#adding-error-analysis-and-training-set-up" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Adding error analysis and training set up</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs062.html#the-chi-2-function" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The \( \chi^2 \) function</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs063.html#fitting-an-equation-of-state-for-dense-nuclear-matter" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Fitting an Equation of State for Dense Nuclear Matter</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs064.html#the-code" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>The code</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs065.html#splitting-our-data-in-training-and-test-data" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Splitting our Data in Training and Test data</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs066.html#exercises-for-week-36" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Exercises for week 36</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs066.html#exercise-1-setting-up-various-python-environments" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Exercise 1: Setting up various Python environments</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs066.html#exercise-2-making-your-own-data-and-exploring-scikit-learn" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Exercise 2: making your own data and exploring scikit-learn</b></a></li>
<!-- navigation toc: --> <li><a href="._week34-bs066.html#exercise-3-normalizing-our-data" style="font-size: 80%;"><b>Exercise 3: Normalizing our data</b></a></li>
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<h2 id="what-is-machine-learning" class="anchor">What is Machine Learning? </h2>
<p>
Statistics, data science and machine learning form important fields of
research in modern science. They describe how to learn and make
predictions from data, as well as allowing us to extract important
correlations about physical process and the underlying laws of motion
in large data sets. The latter, big data sets, appear frequently in
essentially all disciplines, from the traditional Science, Technology,
Mathematics and Engineering fields to Life Science, Law, education
research, the Humanities and the Social Sciences.
<p>
It has become more
and more common to see research projects on big data in for example
the Social Sciences where extracting patterns from complicated survey
data is one of many research directions. Having a solid grasp of data
analysis and machine learning is thus becoming central to scientific
computing in many fields, and competences and skills within the fields
of machine learning and scientific computing are nowadays strongly
requested by many potential employers. The latter cannot be
overstated, familiarity with machine learning has almost become a
prerequisite for many of the most exciting employment opportunities,
whether they are in bioinformatics, life science, physics or finance,
in the private or the public sector. This author has had several
students or met students who have been hired recently based on their
skills and competences in scientific computing and data science, often
with marginal knowledge of machine learning.
<p>
Machine learning is a subfield of computer science, and is closely
related to computational statistics. It evolved from the study of
pattern recognition in artificial intelligence (AI) research, and has
made contributions to AI tasks like computer vision, natural language
processing and speech recognition. Many of the methods we will study are also
strongly rooted in basic mathematics and physics research.
<p>
Ideally, machine learning represents the science of giving computers
the ability to learn without being explicitly programmed. The idea is
that there exist generic algorithms which can be used to find patterns
in a broad class of data sets without having to write code
specifically for each problem. The algorithm will build its own logic
based on the data. You should however always keep in mind that
machines and algorithms are to a large extent developed by humans. The
insights and knowledge we have about a specific system, play a central
role when we develop a specific machine learning algorithm.
<p>
Machine learning is an extremely rich field, in spite of its young
age. The increases we have seen during the last three decades in
computational capabilities have been followed by developments of
methods and techniques for analyzing and handling large date sets,
relying heavily on statistics, computer science and mathematics. The
field is rather new and developing rapidly. Popular software packages
written in Python for machine learning like
<a href="http://scikit-learn.org/stable/" target="_self">Scikit-learn</a>,
<a href="https://www.tensorflow.org/" target="_self">Tensorflow</a>,
<a href="http://pytorch.org/" target="_self">PyTorch</a> and <a href="https://keras.io/" target="_self">Keras</a>, all
freely available at their respective GitHub sites, encompass
communities of developers in the thousands or more. And the number of
code developers and contributors keeps increasing. Not all the
algorithms and methods can be given a rigorous mathematical
justification, opening up thereby large rooms for experimenting and
trial and error and thereby exciting new developments. However, a
solid command of linear algebra, multivariate theory, probability
theory, statistical data analysis, understanding errors and Monte
Carlo methods are central elements in a proper understanding of many
of algorithms and methods we will discuss.
<p>
<p>
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